CHAPTER SIXTEEN
Contemporary Europe
The New Economics of Oil
Petroleum products reordered European life just as they had already
done so to the American. Fuel oil replaced coal as the source of industrial
energy, while gasoline usage increased rapidly with individual ownership of
automobiles. Economically and geographically, Europe now moved on oil.
ESTIMATED CONSUMPTION OF ENERGY IN PETROLEUM-RELATED PRODUCTS (IN KILOGRAMS PER CAPITA)
| Germany | 1950 | 1960 | 1974 |
| Spain | 39 | 133 | 955 |
| United Kingdom | 254 | 713 | 1,605 |
| Italy | 89 | 375 | 1,597 |
| France | 214 | 500 | 1,889 |
| West Germany | 49 | 504 | 1,879 |
Because little of the world's petroleum production takes place in
Western Europe, even though off-shore oil rigs in the North Sea are now
exploiting new reserves, the region has depended on imported oil for its
major energy needs. In the period prior to this last decade, such importation
was readily facilitated by low petroleum prices and the advent of
"supertankers" capable of cheaply carrying enormous quantities of crude oil
to European refineries.
This attractive economic arrangement was disrupted by a new turn in
international relations. For the first time in their two-hundred-year history
the industrial nations of the world could no longer easily exploit the natural
resources of the so-called "underdeveloped" or nonindustrialized portions of
the world.
Most of the world's oil reserves are found in the Near East, and the
political turbulence of that area upset the f able oil flow. First, a change in
government in Libya in 1969 brought to power a nationalist military
dictatorship which initially increased the share of profits the government
would receive from foreign oil concessionaires and, then, nationalized oil
production. The result was an enormous increase in crude oil prices from
that nation. Following Libya's initiative, the Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC), an international marketing con3ortium in
existence since the 1950s, raised the crude oil prices at its wellheads. However,
OPEC's major increase was taken in the autumn of 1973, following the Arab-
Israeli war of that year. Crude oil, which had cost $1.71 per barrel at its port of
origin in Arabia in 1950, rose to $2.48 in 1972; and then rose spectacularly to
$11.65 in 1974.
Although the OPEC decisions may have seemed capricious to some
observers, and even a form of international blackmail to others, these
decisions were reflective not only of Near Eastern political concerns but also
of a new spirit of national resentment expressed against the wealthy West and
the ever-increasing prices of its industrial products. Since the end of World
War II, industrial prices had risen sharply while the price of raw materials
remained rather stable. The result was a favorable balance of trade for the
industrialized West and severe financial encumbrance for the rest of the
world. The OPEC decisions may thus be considered a stratagem by which to
bring the "revolution of expectations" to the Near East.
The multiple effects of the increase in oil prices were quickly felt in
Europe. "Petrodollars" now moved in great quantity to Saudi Arabia, Kuwait,
Iran, and the other oil-producing countries. Suddenly surfeited by new wealth
that they could not effectively invest in their own lands, the Arab nations
replaced the money in the West. This process, ironically labeled "recyclotron,"
has led to Arab investment in European firms, to widespread purchase of real
estate, and even to lavish vacations that but a century ago seemed only a
European prerogative. Perhaps the most striking example of the new
disposition of wealth occurred on July 17, 1974, when Iran purchased 25
percent of the stock of Krupp Steel for a sum of $75 million. That venerable
old company, manufacturer of weapons for the two world wars, then took on
new international importance.
The most obvious effect on European society of the new oil prices was
serious inflation. Although inflation was noticeable at the beginning of the
decade of 1970, and concomitant in growth with the increased demand for
consumer goods and the equal demand for higher wages, the end of the era of
cheap energy was the major factor accounting for the rapid rise in the
European cost of living.
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX OF ALL GOODS CONSUMED (1970= 100%)
| Germany | 1968 | 1973 | 1975 |
| France | 89 | 120 | 153 |
| West Germany | 92 | 119 | 135 |
| Italy | 93 | 123 | 172 |
Recently intensifying alongside inflation is the problem of
unemployment. In 1966 the Common Market countries found 5 percent of
their labor force without jobs. That percentage went up to 5.9 in 1977, and
then on to 6.9 (some 6.2 million individuals) in early 1978. In April of 1978
the European Trade Unions Confederation called for an Action Day, an
international protest of short-lived strikes throughout Europe, to indicate
labor's dissatisfaction with current economic policies. Over 15 million
workers joined in the brief strikes, most of which were one to four hours in
duration.
The contemporary problem of "stagflation," to use the descriptive
American term, is a serious one in Europe. Inflation has combined with
market stagnation to produce conditions of economic distress, which are
particularly disadvantageous to the young, now entering the labor market.
Moreover, governmental concern with "stagflation" has recently been
matched by anxiety over political unrest.
NEXT: Dissent and Disorder
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